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Kartavya

Every major crisis — Sri Lanka's default, Lebanon's collapse, the Arab Spring — was preceded by weak signals visible months in advance that no analyst caught in time.

Code Video Cerebral Valley

Core trick

Five adversarial agents challenge weak signals with web search, then cluster survivors and match them against historical pre-crisis fingerprints.

Tags

agentsfinance

Description

Every major crisis — Sri Lanka's default, Lebanon's collapse, the Arab Spring — was preceded by weak signals visible months in advance that no analyst caught in time. Traditional early warning systems rely on lagging indicators that confirm crises already underway, and domain-specific models miss the cross-domain interactions that produce the most dangerous cascades. Early Warning Analyst (EWA) deploys five adversarial AI agents powered by Claude Opus 4.6 with real-time web search to autonomously discover, validate, stress-test, and synthesize weak signals of emerging crises for any country. Signals surviving adversarial challenge are grouped into Constellations matched against historical pre-crisis Fingerprints and scored into risk bands. A live streaming dashboard lets analysts watch the agent debate unfold and run What-If scenarios to test hypothetical shocks against the risk landscape.
ayushgupta4897/early_warning_analyst★ 10 forksTypeScriptCreated Feb 14, 2026 · last push Feb 17, 2026

README excerpt

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# 🌐 Early Warning Analyst (EWA)

### *Detecting the weak signals everyone else misses — before they compound into crises.*

[![Live Demo](https://img.shields.io/badge/Live_Demo-early--warning--analyst.vercel.app-7c3aed?style=for-the-badge&logo=vercel)](https://early-warning-analyst.vercel.app/)
[![Claude Opus](https://img.shields.io/badge/Powered_by-Claude_Opus_4-cc785c?style=for-the-badge&logo=anthropic)](https://anthropic.com)
[![FastAPI](https://img.shields.io/badge/Backend-FastAPI-009688?style=for-the-badge&logo=fastapi)](https://fastapi.tiangolo.com/)
[![Next.js](https://img.shields.io/badge/Frontend-Next.js_16-000000?style=for-the-badge&logo=next.js)](https://nextjs.org/)

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<img src="docs/screenshots/homepage.png" alt="EWA Homepage — Interactive 3D globe with country search" width="90%" />

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*An AI-powered multi-agent system that deploys five adversarial agents to autonomously discover, validate, stress-test, and synthesize weak signals of emerging crises for any country.*

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## 📌 The Problem

Every major crisis of the last two decades — **Sri Lanka's sovereign default**, **Lebanon's financial collapse**, **the Arab Spring** — was preceded by months or years of weak, individually unremarkable signals that only became obvious in hindsight.

- A quiet change in **fertilizer subsidy policy**.
- An unusual pattern in **central bank reserve drawdowns**.
- A subtle shift in **water table data** that nobody cross-referenced with e

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